How Much Skill Was There in Forecasting the Very Strong 1997–98 El Niño? (Google Books ⧉, Amazon ⧉, Bookshop ⧉)

State of Fear

*  C. Landsea, et al., 2000, “How Much Skill Was There in Forecasting the Very Strong 1997–98 El Niño?” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 81: 2107-19. “…one could have even less confidence in anthropogenic global warming studies because of the lack of skill in predicting El Niño…the successes in ENSO forecasting have been overstated (sometimes drastically) and misapplied in other arenas.”